Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 7Kick-off on February 16, 2025 at 03:10 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca won 2-1 on February 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′A. VegaToluca
- 70′H. CamberosGuadalajara Chivas
- 90′H. CamberosToluca (o.g.)
Official lineup for Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-4-2- 26Paulinho
- 31R. Morales
- 9A. Vega
- 5F. Romero
- 14M. Ruiz
- 10J. Angulo
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 13Luan
- 17B. García
- 18Pau López
Guadalajara Chivas
3-4-2-1- 9A. Pulido
- 31Y. Padilla
- 25R. Alvarado
- 21J. Castillo
- 15É. Gutiérrez
- 17L. Romo
- 2A. Mozo
- 4M. Tapias
- 3G. Sepúlveda
- 65L. Rey
- 1J. Rangel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Leon(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Cibao(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Cibao(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Leon(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toluca wins, 4 draws, 2 Guadalajara Chivas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas 2-2 Toluca | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Jul 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 5th in Liga MX (24 points from 15 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 24 |
A question about Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy