Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 7Kick-off on February 16, 2025 at 03:10 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Toluca won 2-1 on February 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′A. VegaToluca
- 70′H. CamberosGuadalajara Chivas
- 90′H. CamberosToluca (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guadalajara Chivas have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Leon(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Cibao(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Cibao(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Leon(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toluca win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Guadalajara Chivas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2024 | Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas 2-2 Toluca | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca on Jul 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara Chivas score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Guadalajara Chivas | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Guadalajara Chivas sit 12th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy