Toluca vs Santos Laguna: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 14Kick-off on April 7, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Toluca won 2-1 on April 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′PaulinhoToluca
- 45′M. RuizToluca
- 66′J. GüémezSantos Laguna
Official lineup for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 9A. Vega
- 10J. Angulo
- 7J. Domínguez
- 198V. Arteaga
- 14M. Ruiz
- 20J. Gallardo
- 25E. López
- 6F. Pereira
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1- 247Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
- 26R. Sordo
- 9J. Carrillo
- 14Fran Villalba
- 6J. Güémez
- 16A. López
- 17E. EcheverrÃa
- 188Jonathan Pérez
- 23É. Gutiérrez
- 13J. Abella
- 1C. Acevedo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Santos Laguna have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Leon(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Monterrey(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 0 draws, 2 Santos Laguna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Santos Laguna 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Santos Laguna 0-5 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Santos Laguna 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Santos Laguna vs Toluca on Sep 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (21 points from 12 matches) and Santos Laguna sit 9th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 21 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
A question about Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy