Toluca vs Santos Laguna: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 14Kick-off on April 7, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Toluca won 2-1 on April 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′PaulinhoToluca
- 45′M. RuizToluca
- 66′J. GüémezSantos Laguna
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Santos Laguna have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Leon(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Monterrey(away) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Santos Laguna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Santos Laguna 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Santos Laguna 0-5 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Santos Laguna 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Santos Laguna vs Toluca on Sep 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Santos Laguna sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy