Toluca W vs Guadalajara W: prediction and stats
Liga MX FemenilRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Toluca W the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara W. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toluca W vs Guadalajara W?
On Elo ratings, Toluca W has 1,712 points and Guadalajara W 1,757.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toluca W vs Guadalajara W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toluca W
4-3-3- 9E. Le Sommer
- 29M. PavÃ
- 17S. Jakobsson
- 6A. Henry
- 14D. Blackwood
- 10B. Cuevas
- 24K. Veje
- 2K. Martínez
- 4Y. Rodriguez Perez
- 16L. Fernandez
- 12V. Martinez
Guadalajara W
4-3-3- 24A. Cervantes
- 14M. Mauleon
- 25J. Montoya
- 23J. A. Casarez
- 16E. Gonzalez
- 5C. Ferral
- 3D. Godínez
- 21S. Lopez
- 9G. Valenzuela
- 2D. Rodriguez
- 12B. Félix
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca W have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Guadalajara W have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Pachuca W(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Necaxa W(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Tigres UANL W(home) | 2-7 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tijuana W(home) | 6-0 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monterrey W(away) | 1-5 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Juárez W(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cruz Azul W(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tijuana W(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monterrey W(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atlas W(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX Femenil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca W wins, 2 draws, 2 Guadalajara W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Guadalajara W 1-1 Toluca W | Liga MX Femenil |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Toluca W 0-2 Guadalajara W | Liga MX Femenil |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Guadalajara W 2-2 Toluca W | Liga MX Femenil |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Toluca W 2-1 Guadalajara W | Liga MX Femenil |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Guadalajara W 1-0 Toluca W | Liga MX Femenil |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Toluca W 2-0 Guadalajara W | Liga MX Femenil |
Last archived meeting: Guadalajara W vs Toluca W on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca W score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara W score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca W | 2.3 | 2.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Guadalajara W | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca W sit 4th in Liga MX Femenil (22 points from 10 matches) and Guadalajara W sit 5th (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Toluca W | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 5 | Guadalajara W | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 21 |
A question about Toluca W vs Guadalajara W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toluca W vs Guadalajara W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toluca W the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara W.
- Where and when is Toluca W vs Guadalajara W played?
- Toluca W vs Guadalajara W is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga MX Femenil.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.