Match

Toluca W vs Guadalajara W: prediction and stats

Liga MX FemenilRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)

Toluca WGuadalajara W

The Footlab AI model makes Toluca W the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara W. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Toluca W vs Guadalajara W?

On Elo ratings, Toluca W has 1,712 points and Guadalajara W 1,757.

51%22%27%
Toluca W winDrawGuadalajara W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Toluca W vs Guadalajara W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Toluca W

4-3-3
  1. 9E. Le Sommer
  2. 29M. Paví
  3. 17S. Jakobsson
  1. 6A. Henry
  2. 14D. Blackwood
  3. 10B. Cuevas
  1. 24K. Veje
  2. 2K. Martínez
  3. 4Y. Rodriguez Perez
  4. 16L. Fernandez
  1. 12V. Martinez

Guadalajara W

4-3-3
  1. 24A. Cervantes
  2. 14M. Mauleon
  3. 25J. Montoya
  1. 23J. A. Casarez
  2. 16E. Gonzalez
  3. 5C. Ferral
  1. 3D. Godínez
  2. 21S. Lopez
  3. 9G. Valenzuela
  4. 2D. Rodriguez
  1. 12B. Félix

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca W have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Guadalajara W have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Toluca W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Pachuca W(away)2-1Liga MX Femenil
Sep 29, 2026Necaxa W(away)4-0Liga MX Femenil
Sep 22, 2026Tigres UANL W(home)2-7Liga MX Femenil
Sep 15, 2026Tijuana W(home)6-0Liga MX Femenil
Sep 6, 2026Monterrey W(away)1-5Liga MX Femenil
Guadalajara W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Juárez W(home)1-0Liga MX Femenil
Sep 26, 2026Cruz Azul W(away)1-0Liga MX Femenil
Sep 19, 2026Tijuana W(away)2-0Liga MX Femenil
Sep 12, 2026Monterrey W(home)2-3Liga MX Femenil
Sep 5, 2026Atlas W(away)4-0Liga MX Femenil

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca W wins, 2 draws, 2 Guadalajara W wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Guadalajara W 1-1 Toluca WLiga MX Femenil
Nov 10, 2025Toluca W 0-2 Guadalajara WLiga MX Femenil
Nov 7, 2025Guadalajara W 2-2 Toluca WLiga MX Femenil
Aug 14, 2025Toluca W 2-1 Guadalajara WLiga MX Femenil
Feb 14, 2025Guadalajara W 1-0 Toluca WLiga MX Femenil
Sep 2, 2024Toluca W 2-0 Guadalajara WLiga MX Femenil

Last archived meeting: Guadalajara W vs Toluca W on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Toluca W score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara W score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Toluca W2.32.0411/1511/15
Guadalajara W1.81.249/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Toluca W sit 4th in Liga MX Femenil (22 points from 10 matches) and Guadalajara W sit 5th (21 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Toluca W10712251622
5Guadalajara W10703211121

A question about Toluca W vs Guadalajara W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Toluca W vs Guadalajara W?
The Footlab AI model makes Toluca W the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara W.
Where and when is Toluca W vs Guadalajara W played?
Toluca W vs Guadalajara W is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga MX Femenil.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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