Tomares vs Dos Hermanas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, Tomares
The Footlab model makes Dos Hermanas the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Tomares. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tomares vs Dos Hermanas?
Dos Hermanas starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tomares have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Dos Hermanas have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Coria CF(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bollullos(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Central(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 23, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tomares win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dos Hermanas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Tomares 2-1 Dos Hermanas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Dos Hermanas 3-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Tomares vs Dos Hermanas on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tomares score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dos Hermanas score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomares | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dos Hermanas | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tomares sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (39 points from 34 matches) and Dos Hermanas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 39 | 60 |
| 15 | Tomares | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 46 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tomares vs Dos Hermanas?
- The Footlab model makes Dos Hermanas the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Tomares.
- Where and when is Tomares vs Dos Hermanas played?
- Tomares vs Dos Hermanas is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.