Tombense vs AO Itabaiana: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 4Kick-off on May 3, 2025 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Guimarães de Almeida, Tombos, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Tombense vs AO Itabaiana?
Tombense won 2-0 on May 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′Anderson LigeiroTombense
- 76′Rafael SilvaTombense (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tombense have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; AO Itabaiana have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ituano(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Figueirense(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Retrô(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Operario-PR(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 26, 2025 | CSE(away) | 3-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | São Bernardo(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ypiranga-RS(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Confiança(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Confiança(home) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Tombense score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AO Itabaiana score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| AO Itabaiana | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | AO Itabaiana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy