Tona vs San Cristóbal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Tona, Tona
The Footlab model makes Tona the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for San Cristóbal. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tona vs San Cristóbal?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Tona (1,759) and San Cristóbal (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tona have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; San Cristóbal have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tona(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tona win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 San Cristóbal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Cristóbal 2-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Tona 0-0 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | San Cristóbal 0-4 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Tona 1-0 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Tona 1-2 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | San Cristóbal 1-3 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: San Cristóbal vs Tona on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Cristóbal score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tona | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| San Cristóbal | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tona sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (45 points from 34 matches) and San Cristóbal sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tona | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 45 |
| 14 | San Cristóbal | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 48 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tona vs San Cristóbal?
- The Footlab model makes Tona the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for San Cristóbal.
- Where and when is Tona vs San Cristóbal played?
- Tona vs San Cristóbal is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Tona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.