Torpedo Miass vs Tyumen: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A SilverDivision A Silver - 11Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Trud, Miass
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Miass the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tyumen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Miass vs Tyumen?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Torpedo Miass (1,658) and Tyumen (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Miass have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Tyumen have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 5-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tyumen(away) | 3-4 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Izhevsk(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk(away) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zenit 2(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 4-3 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torpedo Miass win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tyumen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tyumen 4-3 Torpedo Miass | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Tyumen 2-1 Torpedo Miass | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 7, 2023 | Tyumen 1-1 Torpedo Miass | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Torpedo Miass 0-4 Tyumen | Second League - Group 4 |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Tyumen 1-2 Torpedo Miass | Second League - Group 4 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Torpedo Miass 0-3 Tyumen | Second League - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tyumen vs Torpedo Miass on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Miass score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tyumen score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Miass | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tyumen | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Miass sit 7th in Second League A - Division A Silver (3 points from 5 matches) and Tyumen sit 3rd (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tyumen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Torpedo Miass | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Miass vs Tyumen?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Miass the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tyumen.
- Where and when is Torpedo Miass vs Tyumen played?
- Torpedo Miass vs Tyumen is played on September 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Trud, in the Second League A - Division A Silver.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.