Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Dnepr Mogilev: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadyen Tarpeda, Zhodino
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for FC Dnepr Mogilev. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Torpedo Zhodino starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Zhodino have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FC Dnepr Mogilev have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lida(away) | 4-0 | Coppa |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 3-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torpedo Zhodino win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Dnepr Mogilev win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino 1-2 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Coppa |
| Apr 20, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-2 Torpedo Zhodino | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2024 | FC Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino | Premier League |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Torpedo Zhodino 4-2 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 FC Dnepr Mogilev | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Dnepr Mogilev on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Zhodino score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Dnepr Mogilev score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Zhodino | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Dnepr Mogilev | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Zhodino sit 9th in Premier League (23 points from 17 matches) and FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th (13 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for FC Dnepr Mogilev.
- Where and when is Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Dnepr Mogilev played?
- Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Dnepr Mogilev is played on August 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Tarpeda, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.