Arsenal vs Torpedo Zhodino: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadyen Haradski, Dzerzhinsk
The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Arsenal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Torpedo Zhodino starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Torpedo Zhodino have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Naftan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Neman(home) | 2-3 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lida(away) | 4-0 | Coppa |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Arsenal win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Torpedo Zhodino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino 3-3 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Arsenal 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Torpedo Zhodino 3-1 Arsenal | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Arsenal 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Torpedo Zhodino vs Arsenal on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Torpedo Zhodino score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal sit 11th in Premier League (21 points from 19 matches) and Torpedo Zhodino sit 9th (23 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 11 | Arsenal | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal vs Torpedo Zhodino?
- The Footlab model makes Torpedo Zhodino the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Arsenal.
- Where and when is Arsenal vs Torpedo Zhodino played?
- Arsenal vs Torpedo Zhodino is played on August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadyen Haradski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.