Torquay vs Morecambe: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 4, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
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What was the result of Torquay vs Morecambe?
Torquay and Morecambe drew 1-1 on January 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 17′Aaron DownesTorquay
- 84′Robbie ThrelfallMorecambe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Morecambe have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2014 | Plymouth(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Exeter City(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Southend(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2014 | York(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2013 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2013 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Scunthorpe(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Torquay win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Morecambe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2013 | Morecambe 1-1 Torquay | League Two |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Morecambe 0-2 Torquay | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Torquay 1-0 Morecambe | League Two |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Morecambe 1-2 Torquay | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Torquay 1-1 Morecambe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Morecambe | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy