Torquay vs Southend: result 1-4 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 17, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
Full time
What was the result of Torquay vs Southend?
Southend won 1-4 on November 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 10′G. TomlinSouthend
- 39′B. AssombalongaSouthend
- 45′B. AssombalongaSouthend
- 46′G. TomlinSouthend
- 52′Ryan JarvisTorquay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Southend have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Oxford United(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Barnet(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Morecambe(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Gillingham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Port Vale(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Stockport County(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | York(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Southend win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2012 | Torquay 0-0 Southend | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Southend 4-1 Torquay | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Southend | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy