Torreense vs Vizela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab model makes Torreense the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Vizela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Vizela?
Torreense starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,002 vs 1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Vizela have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Torreense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vizela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Torreense 4-0 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Vizela 0-1 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Torreense 2-4 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Vizela 1-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Vizela 1-3 Torreense | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vizela score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Vizela | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torreense sit 13th in Segunda Liga (2 points from 3 matches) and Vizela sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vizela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Torreense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Vizela?
- The Footlab model makes Torreense the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Vizela.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Vizela played?
- Torreense vs Vizela is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.