Sporting CP B vs Farense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, Alcochete
The Footlab model makes Farense the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Farense?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Sporting CP B (1,879) and Farense (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP B have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Farense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sporting CP B win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Farense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Farense 2-1 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Sporting CP B 3-1 Farense | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Farense vs Sporting CP B on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Farense score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Farense | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP B sit 6th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Farense sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Farense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP B vs Farense?
- The Footlab model makes Farense the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Sporting CP B vs Farense played?
- Sporting CP B vs Farense is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.