Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Chaves. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Felgueiras 1932 (1,931) and Chaves (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Felgueiras 1932 have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Chaves have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AVS(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Felgueiras 1932 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chaves win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Chaves 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Chaves 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Felgueiras 1932 1-2 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Chaves | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Felgueiras 1932 2-0 Chaves | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chaves | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Felgueiras 1932 sit 11th in Segunda Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Chaves sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Chaves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?
- The Footlab model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Chaves.
- Where and when is Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves played?
- Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.