Toulon vs Chasselay MDA: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 30Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Bon-Rencontre, Toulon
The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Chasselay MDA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Toulon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Toulon (1,815) and Chasselay MDA (1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toulon vs Chasselay MDA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toulon
Not enough data to predict the Toulon lineup.
Chasselay MDA
Not enough data to predict the Chasselay MDA lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulon have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Chasselay MDA have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Troyes II(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 4-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toulon wins, 3 draws, 1 Chasselay MDA win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chasselay MDA 1-1 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Toulon 1-1 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Chasselay MDA 1-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Chasselay MDA 3-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Toulon 0-0 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group A |
| May 28, 2022 | Toulon 2-1 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Chasselay MDA vs Toulon on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toulon score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chasselay MDA score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulon | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chasselay MDA | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulon sit 3rd in National 2 - Group C (12 points from 7 matches) and Chasselay MDA sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toulon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Chasselay MDA | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulon vs Chasselay MDA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Chasselay MDA.
- Where and when is Toulon vs Chasselay MDA played?
- Toulon vs Chasselay MDA is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Bon-Rencontre, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.