Toulon vs Saint-Priest: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 12Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Bon-Rencontre, Toulon
The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Saint-Priest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Toulon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulon vs Saint-Priest?
On Elo ratings, Toulon has 1,820 points and Saint-Priest 1,739.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toulon vs Saint-Priest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toulon
Not enough data to predict the Toulon lineup.
Saint-Priest
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Priest lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulon have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Saint-Priest have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Limonest(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | UF Touraine(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Troyes II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toulon wins, 1 draw, 2 Saint-Priest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Priest 2-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Toulon 1-2 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Toulon 4-2 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Saint-Priest 1-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Saint-Priest 2-1 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Toulon 2-1 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Priest vs Toulon on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toulon score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Priest score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulon | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Saint-Priest | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulon sit 3rd in National 2 - Group C (12 points from 7 matches) and Saint-Priest sit 11th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toulon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 11 | Saint-Priest | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Toulon vs Saint-Priest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulon vs Saint-Priest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Saint-Priest.
- Where and when is Toulon vs Saint-Priest played?
- Toulon vs Saint-Priest is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Bon-Rencontre, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.