Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 37Kick-off on May 7, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Full time
What was the result of Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Toulouse won 1-0 on May 7, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 53′Ó. TrejoToulouse
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulouse have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Estac Troyes have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2016 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Lyon(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Lorient(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Bastia(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Caen(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2016 | Bordeaux(home) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Montpellier(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Reims(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Angers(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Toulouse win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Estac Troyes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | Estac Troyes 0-3 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Toulouse 2-2 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Estac Troyes 0-2 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Toulouse on Dec 2, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Toulouse score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 0.8 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 0.8 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulouse sit 15th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Estac Troyes sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Estac Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy