Toulouse vs Nice: result 5-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
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What was the result of Toulouse vs Nice?
Toulouse won 5-1 on January 17, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′S. HidalgoToulouse
- 45′F. MagriToulouse
- 49′E. WahiNice
- 55′S. HidalgoToulouse
- 74′C. CásseresToulouse
- 80′Julián VignoloToulouse
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulouse have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Nice have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Angers(away) | 1-1 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Lens(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 2-1 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Paris FC(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Strasbourg(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 1-1 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-1 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Lens(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toulouse win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nice 0-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Toulouse 1-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Nice 1-1 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Toulouse 2-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Nice 1-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2023 | Nice 0-0 Toulouse | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Toulouse score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nice score 0.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Nice | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulouse sit 15th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Nice sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy