TP Mazembe vs CS Manika: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 68%, against 24% for a draw and 8% for CS Manika. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs CS Manika?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,960 Elo points against 1,645, a 315-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs CS Manika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
CS Manika
Not enough data to predict the CS Manika lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; CS Manika have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Blessing(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Saint-Luc(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | FC Tshikas(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Tshinkunku(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 TP Mazembe wins, 0 draws, 0 CS Manika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | CS Manika 0-1 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | TP Mazembe 3-1 CS Manika | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CS Manika vs TP Mazembe on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; CS Manika score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| CS Manika | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TP Mazembe sit 1st in Ligue 1 (73 points from 30 matches) and CS Manika sit 5th (48 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 5 | CS Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 48 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs CS Manika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs CS Manika?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 68%, against 24% for a draw and 8% for CS Manika.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs CS Manika played?
- TP Mazembe vs CS Manika is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.