TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 20Kick-off on February 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Tanganyika. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,959 Elo points against 1,623, a 336-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Tanganyika
Not enough data to predict the Tanganyika lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Tanganyika have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Tshinkunku(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Saint-Luc(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Sanga Balende(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Malole(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Blessing(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 TP Mazembe wins, 2 draws, 1 Tanganyika win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Tanganyika 0-0 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | TP Mazembe 2-0 Tanganyika | Ligue 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | TP Mazembe 1-2 Tanganyika | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | TP Mazembe 2-1 Tanganyika | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Tanganyika 0-0 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Tanganyika vs TP Mazembe on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tanganyika score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Tanganyika | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TP Mazembe sit 1st in Ligue 1 (73 points from 30 matches) and Tanganyika sit 6th (44 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 32 | 44 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Tanganyika.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika played?
- TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika is played on February 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.