Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Trabzonspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Trabzonspor (2,077) and Galatasaray (2,146).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Galatasaray have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trabzonspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Galatasaray win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Trabzonspor 2-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Galatasaray 4-1 Trabzonspor | Super Cup |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Galatasaray 0-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| May 14, 2025 | Trabzonspor 3-0 Galatasaray | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 10, 2025 | Trabzonspor 0-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Galatasaray 4-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Galatasaray score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Galatasaray | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 13th in Süper Lig (1 points from 1 matches) and Galatasaray sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray?
- The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Trabzonspor.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray played?
- Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray is played on September 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.