Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Trabzonspor starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gaziantep FK have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Trabzonspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Gaziantep FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 1-2 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Trabzonspor 3-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 0-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Trabzonspor 4-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Gaziantep FK 1-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Gaziantep FK vs Trabzonspor on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 4th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Gaziantep FK sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?
- The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK played?
- Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK is played on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.