Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beşiktaş wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Beşiktaş starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (2,099 vs 1,913).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1- 9A. Benedyczak
- 26K. Demirbay
- 7A. Kol
- 51Elson Mendes
- 16A. Baldursson
- 17J. Rak-Sakyi
- 2Cláudio Winck
- 27M. Ilie
- 45A. Karapo
- 14K. Mouanga
- 1A. Gianniotis
Known absences
A. ArousOut · Wound
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1- 28D. Vlahović
- 6S. Özcan
- 19L. Trossard
- 15J. Olaitan
- 18V. Černý
- 21F. Miretti
- 62A. Murillo
- 53E. Topçu
- 33R. Yılmaz
- 12E. Agbadou
- 1A. Nübel
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Beşiktaş have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 4-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 1-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amed(away) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kasımpaşa wins, 2 draws, 1 Beşiktaş win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Beşiktaş 2-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Beşiktaş 1-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| May 26, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 2-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Beşiktaş 1-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 7th in Süper Lig (13 points from 8 matches) and Beşiktaş sit 5th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Beşiktaş | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab AI model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş is played on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.