Gaziantep FK vs Amed: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Amed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Amed?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Gaziantep FK (1,899) and Amed (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Amed have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Amed score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Amed | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gaziantep FK sit 6th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Amed sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Amed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Amed?
- The Footlab model makes Gaziantep FK the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Amed.
- Where and when is Gaziantep FK vs Amed played?
- Gaziantep FK vs Amed is played on November 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gaziantep Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.