Trastevere vs Gelbison: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, Roma
The Footlab model makes Gelbison the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Trastevere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trastevere vs Gelbison?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Trastevere (1,720) and Gelbison (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trastevere have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Gelbison have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 10, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Anzio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olbia(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Gela(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Enna(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sancataldese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Trastevere win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gelbison win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Gelbison 3-3 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Trastevere 1-2 Gelbison | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Gelbison vs Trastevere on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Trastevere score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gelbison score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trastevere | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gelbison | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trastevere | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 46 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trastevere vs Gelbison?
- The Footlab model makes Gelbison the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Trastevere.
- Where and when is Trastevere vs Gelbison played?
- Trastevere vs Gelbison is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.