Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, Roma
The Footlab model makes Trastevere the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Trastevere (1,719) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trastevere have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 10, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Anzio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Olbia(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olbia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valmontone(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trastevere win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sarrabus Ogliastra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 3-1 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Trastevere 2-2 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Trastevere 3-1 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 0-2 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Trastevere 2-3 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 3-2 Trastevere | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Trastevere on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trastevere score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trastevere | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trastevere sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone G (60 points from 34 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trastevere | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 46 | 60 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
- The Footlab model makes Trastevere the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
- Trastevere vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.