Venafro vs Paganese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Venafro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paganese wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venafro vs Paganese?
Paganese starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,673).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Venafro vs Paganese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Venafro
Not enough data to predict the Venafro lineup.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Venafro have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Paganese have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ossese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gelbison(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Venafro score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 7; Paganese score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venafro | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
| Paganese | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venafro sit 17th in Serie D - Girone G (4 points from 6 matches) and Paganese sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Paganese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| 17 | Venafro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Venafro vs Paganese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venafro vs Paganese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paganese the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Venafro.
- Where and when is Venafro vs Paganese played?
- Venafro vs Paganese is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.