Tre Fiori vs Murata: prediction and stats
CampionatoRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, Fiorentino
The Footlab AI model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Murata. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,172 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tre Fiori vs Murata?
Tre Fiori is a heavy favourite: 1,406 Elo points against 912, a 494-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tre Fiori vs Murata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tre Fiori
3-4-1-2- 9M. Prandelli
- 10T. Bernardi
- 20F. Benedettini
- 4Brando Sami
- 8L. Censoni
- 29R. Bertani
- 2Alessandro D'Addario
- 24P. Mengucci
- 3Mattia Sancisi
- 2A. D'Addario
- 17M. Nardi
Murata
Not enough data to predict the Murata lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tre Fiori have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Murata have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tre Penne(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Giovanni(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 2-3 | Campionato |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Domagnano(home) | 3-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Fiorentino(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cosmos(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Giovanni(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-3 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 4-1 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tre Fiori wins, 1 draw, 1 Murata win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Murata 0-3 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Tre Fiori 4-0 Murata | Campionato |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Tre Fiori 2-0 Murata | Campionato |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Murata 0-2 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Murata 2-1 Tre Fiori | Campionato |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Tre Fiori 0-0 Murata | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Tre Fiori score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Murata score 0.6 and concede 3.2. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Fiori | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Murata | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tre Fiori sit 4th in Campionato (12 points from 5 matches) and Murata sit 13th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 12 |
| 13 | Murata | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Tre Fiori vs Murata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tre Fiori vs Murata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tre Fiori the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Murata.
- Where and when is Tre Fiori vs Murata played?
- Tre Fiori vs Murata is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.