Treaty United vs Kerry: result 2-1 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on July 3, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Markets Field, Limerick
Full time
What was the result of Treaty United vs Kerry?
Treaty United won 2-1 on July 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 36′C. MurphyKerry (pen.)
- 67′J. OyenugaTreaty United
- 85′R. LynchTreaty United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treaty United have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Kerry have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 0-0 | First Division |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 0-4 | First Division |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
| May 29, 2026 | Longford Town(away) | 1-3 | First Division |
| May 25, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Jun 19, 2026 | UCD(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| May 29, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 0-2 | First Division |
| May 22, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Treaty United win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Kerry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Kerry 1-1 Treaty United | First Division |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Treaty United 2-2 Kerry | First Division |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Kerry 2-4 Treaty United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Kerry 1-1 Treaty United | First Division |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Treaty United 1-1 Kerry | First Division |
| May 9, 2025 | Kerry 1-0 Treaty United | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Kerry vs Treaty United on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Treaty United score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kerry score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treaty United | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kerry | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treaty United sit 10th in First Division (16 points from 20 matches) and Kerry sit 8th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kerry | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Kerry | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy