Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 19Kick-off on January 5, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
Full time
What was the result of Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely)?
Trefelin won 3-1 on January 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 5′?Caerau (Ely)
- 12′?Trefelin
- 14′?Trefelin
- 66′?Trefelin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | Afan Lido(away) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 6-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Bala Town(home) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 3, 2023 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Trefelin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 2-0 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin on Nov 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.5 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy