Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-0 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 17Kick-off on December 26, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
Full time
What was the result of Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely)?
Trefelin won 3-0 on December 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′624091Trefelin
- 36′L. Caramella-GerrardTrefelin
- 55′J. JonesTrefelin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Bangor 1876(away) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dolgellau Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Trefelin win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 3-4 Trefelin | League Cup |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-0 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Trefelin 1-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Trefelin | League Cup |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Trefelin 3-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely) 2-0 Trefelin | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Trefelin on Jul 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 2.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2025Cardiff Draconians2-0Llantwit Major
- Dec 26, 2025Ynyshir Albions1-3Cambrian & Clydach
- Dec 26, 2025Pontypridd Town0-1Aberystwyth Town
- Dec 26, 2025Carmarthen Town0-1Ammanford AFC
- Dec 26, 2025Treowen Stars2-0Trethomas Bluebirds
- Dec 26, 2025Baglan Dragons3-1Afan Lido
- Dec 27, 2025Newport City2-2Cwmbran Celtic