Treibach vs Bleiburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Turnerwald-Stadion, Althofen
The Footlab model makes Treibach the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Bleiburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Treibach vs Bleiburg?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Treibach (1,539) and Bleiburg (1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treibach have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bleiburg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Velden(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Völkermarkt(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Kapfenberg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Donau Klagenfurt(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wolfsberg(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Velden(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Traiskirchen(away) | 0-4 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Treibach win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bleiburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2024 | Treibach 6-0 Bleiburg | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Bleiburg 1-1 Treibach | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Bleiburg 2-3 Treibach | Landesliga - Karnten |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Treibach 3-1 Bleiburg | Landesliga - Karnten |
How many goals should we expect?
Treibach score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bleiburg score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treibach | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bleiburg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treibach sit 1st in Regionalliga - South (10 points from 4 matches) and Bleiburg sit 12th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treibach | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Bleiburg | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Treibach vs Bleiburg?
- The Footlab model makes Treibach the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Bleiburg.
- Where and when is Treibach vs Bleiburg played?
- Treibach vs Bleiburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Turnerwald-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.