Trem vs Tuna Luso: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 1Kick-off on May 6, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Milton Corrêa, Macapá, Amapá
Full time
What was the result of Trem vs Tuna Luso?
Trem won 1-0 on May 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 87′Leandro CearenseTrem (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trem have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tuna Luso have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-4 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Humaitá(away) | 0-2 | Copa Verde |
| Jul 25, 2022 | Independente AP(home) | 1-1 | Amapaense |
| Jul 21, 2022 | Independente AP(away) | 2-2 | Amapaense |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Rio Branco(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2023 | Paysandu(away) | 1-1 | Paraense |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Paysandu(home) | 1-4 | Paraense |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Cametá(away) | 2-1 | Paraense |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Paysandu(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Sao Francisco(home) | 1-2 | Paraense |
How many goals should we expect?
Trem score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tuna Luso score 1.4 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trem | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tuna Luso | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trem sit 1st in Serie D (20 points from 10 matches) and Tuna Luso sit 4th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Tuna Luso | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy