Trenčín II vs Rača: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 17Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 09:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Trenčín II the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Rača. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trenčín II vs Rača?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Trenčín II (1,564) and Rača (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trenčín II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rača have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Komárno II(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rača(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovan Duslo Šaľa(home) | 4-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nitra(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zlín II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beluša(away) | 2-4 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bernolákovo(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nové Zámky(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Trenčín II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rača win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rača 2-3 Trenčín II | 3. liga - West |
| May 1, 2026 | Trenčín II 8-2 Rača | 3. liga - West |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Rača 0-3 Trenčín II | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Trenčín II score 2.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rača score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenčín II | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Rača | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rača | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trenčín II vs Rača?
- The Footlab model makes Trenčín II the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Rača.
- Where and when is Trenčín II vs Rača played?
- Trenčín II vs Rača is played on March 14, 2027 at 09:30 AM (UTC), in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.