Match

Trento vs Alcione: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 27Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Briamasco, Trento

TrentoAlcione

The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trento vs Alcione?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Trento (1,822) and Alcione (1,746).

Trento win47 %
Draw29 %
Alcione win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trento have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Alcione have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Treviso(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026Ospitaletto(home)2-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 1, 2026Modena(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Genoa(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Giana Erminio(home)1-2Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Renate(home)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Novara(home)0-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 30, 2026Mantova(away)2-6Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Torino(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Trento win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alcione win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Trento 1-0 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Nov 30, 2025Alcione 2-0 TrentoSerie C - Girone A
Mar 17, 2025Trento 1-0 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Nov 2, 2024Alcione 0-1 TrentoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Trento vs Alcione on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trento1.51.4311/1510/15
Alcione0.71.337/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trento sit 6th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Alcione sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Alcione1100313
6Trento1100213

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trento vs Alcione?
The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Alcione.
Where and when is Trento vs Alcione played?
Trento vs Alcione is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Briamasco, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Trento and Alcione

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