Alcione vs Lecco: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcione wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcione vs Lecco?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Alcione (1,673) and Lecco (1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcione vs Lecco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcione
4-3-3- 11F. Morselli
- 98L. Zini
- 96S. Palombi
- 23G. Galli
- 18E. Lopes
- 10J. Pitou
- 25Filippo Pirola
- 4A. Miculi
- 5E. Sadotti
- 3P. Chierichietti
- 69L. Nava
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 21A. Metlika
- 6A. Mallamo
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 5M. Arena
- 22T. Vettorel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Lecco have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trento(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Albinoleffe(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Alcione wins, 2 draws, 3 Lecco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecco 1-1 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Alcione 0-2 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Lecco 1-0 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Alcione 0-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Lecco 1-0 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcione score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcione | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Lecco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcione sit 9th in Serie C - Girone A (12 points from 9 matches) and Lecco sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Alcione | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Alcione vs Lecco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Lecco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Lecco.
- Where and when is Alcione vs Lecco played?
- Alcione vs Lecco is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 21, 2027AlbinoleffevsLumezzane
- Feb 21, 2027Juventus U23vsArzignano Valchiampo
- Feb 21, 2027Folgore CaratesevsTrento
- Feb 21, 2027Dolomiti BellunesivsDesenzano Calvina
- Feb 21, 2027Athletic CarpivsPergolettese