Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-5 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly
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What was the result of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-5 on January 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 38′635581Trethomas Bluebirds
- 42′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 58′D. GriffithsCaerau (Ely)
- 62′L. GullickCaerau (Ely)
- 87′O. RedheadCaerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Treowen Stars(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Caerau (Ely) win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Aug 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th in FAW Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caerau (Ely) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 14 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy