Match

Triestina vs Virtus Bolzano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste

TriestinaVirtus Bolzano

The Footlab AI model makes Triestina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Virtus Bolzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Triestina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Triestina vs Virtus Bolzano?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Triestina (1,687) and Virtus Bolzano (1,623).

47%28%25%
Triestina winDrawVirtus Bolzano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Triestina vs Virtus Bolzano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Triestina

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Faggioli
  2. 9E. Vertainen
  3. 43O. Gningue
  1. 15I. Voca
  2. 17K. Jónsson
  3. 16J. Vicario
  1. 14M. Anzolin
  2. 23T. Silvestri
  3. 20H. Davis
  4. 5S. Kosijer
  1. 1K. Matošević

Virtus Bolzano

Not enough data to predict the Virtus Bolzano lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triestina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Virtus Bolzano have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Triestina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Conegliano(home)1-0Serie D - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026LME(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026FC Obermais(home)2-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(away)0-3Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Bassano Virtus(home)1-1Serie D - Girone C
Virtus Bolzano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Bassano Virtus(home)2-1Serie D - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Campodarsego(away)1-4Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Calvi Noale(home)1-3Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Altavilla(away)0-7Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Sandona(home)2-1Serie D - Girone C

How many goals should we expect?

Triestina score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Bolzano score 1.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Triestina1.41.749/158/15
Virtus Bolzano1.22.4110/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Triestina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone C (9 points from 8 matches) and Virtus Bolzano sit 13th (9 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Triestina82338109
13Virtus Bolzano83058239

A question about Triestina vs Virtus Bolzano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Triestina vs Virtus Bolzano?
The Footlab AI model makes Triestina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Virtus Bolzano.
Where and when is Triestina vs Virtus Bolzano played?
Triestina vs Virtus Bolzano is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nereo Rocco, in the Serie D - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Triestina and Virtus Bolzano

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