Match

Triglav vs Ilirija: prediction and stats

2. SNLRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, Kranj

TriglavIlirija

The Footlab AI model makes Triglav the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Ilirija. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Triglav vs Ilirija?

Triglav starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,474).

71%18%11%
Triglav winDrawIlirija win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Triglav vs Ilirija

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Triglav

Not enough data to predict the Triglav lineup.

Ilirija

Not enough data to predict the Ilirija lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triglav have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ilirija have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Triglav
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Krško(away)2-02. SNL
Oct 4, 2026Jesenice(home)4-02. SNL
Sep 26, 2026Primorje(home)1-12. SNL
Sep 20, 2026Slovan Ljubljana(home)3-02. SNL
Sep 16, 2026Brežice(home)4-02. SNL
Ilirija
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Krka(home)2-12. SNL
Oct 4, 2026Beltinci(home)2-42. SNL
Sep 25, 2026Dekani(away)0-12. SNL
Sep 19, 2026Krško(home)2-02. SNL
Sep 12, 2026Jesenice(away)1-32. SNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Triglav wins, 3 draws, 0 Ilirija wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Triglav 1-1 Ilirija2. SNL
Sep 3, 2025Ilirija 0-2 Triglav2. SNL
Nov 26, 2024Triglav 1-0 Ilirija2. SNL
Aug 9, 2024Ilirija 2-2 Triglav2. SNL
Mar 29, 2024Ilirija 1-2 Triglav2. SNL
Sep 15, 2023Triglav 0-0 Ilirija2. SNL

Last archived meeting: Triglav vs Ilirija on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Triglav score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ilirija score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Triglav1.80.793/156/15
Ilirija1.31.366/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Triglav sit 3rd in 2. SNL (19 points from 9 matches) and Ilirija sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Triglav961218519
5Ilirija10514171116

A question about Triglav vs Ilirija?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Triglav vs Ilirija?
The Footlab AI model makes Triglav the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Ilirija.
Where and when is Triglav vs Ilirija played?
Triglav vs Ilirija is played on May 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni Center Stanko Mlakar, in the 2. SNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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