Trindade vs Rio Verde: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Abrão Manoel da Costa, Trindade, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Trindade. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trindade vs Rio Verde?
Rio Verde starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trindade have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Rio Verde have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crixás EC(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 0-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(home) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 4-1 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Trindade win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rio Verde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2025 | Rio Verde 2-1 Trindade | Goiano - 2 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Trindade 3-0 Rio Verde | Goiano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Trindade score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Verde score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trindade | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Rio Verde | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trindade sit 10th in Goiano - 2 (3 points from 7 matches) and Rio Verde sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Trindade | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trindade vs Rio Verde?
- The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Trindade.
- Where and when is Trindade vs Rio Verde played?
- Trindade vs Rio Verde is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Abrão Manoel da Costa, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.