Rio Verde vs Goiânia: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, Rio Verde, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Goiânia. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Verde vs Goiânia?
Rio Verde starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Verde have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Goiânia have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 4-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(home) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Morrinhos(away) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Trindade(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tupy FC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crixás EC(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Verde score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Goiânia score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Verde | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Goiânia | 0.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Verde sit 1st in Goiano - 2 (16 points from 7 matches) and Goiânia sit 6th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Goiânia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Verde vs Goiânia?
- The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Goiânia.
- Where and when is Rio Verde vs Goiânia played?
- Rio Verde vs Goiânia is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.