Třinec vs Dukla Praha: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, Třinec
The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Dukla Praha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Třinec vs Dukla Praha?
Třinec starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Třinec have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Dukla Praha have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Opava(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(away) | 1-3 | FNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(home) | 1-3 | FNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Vykan(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hanácká(home) | 2-0 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Táborsko(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Třinec win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dukla Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Dukla Praha 2-0 Třinec | FNL |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Třinec 2-0 Dukla Praha | FNL |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Dukla Praha 0-0 Třinec | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Třinec 1-3 Dukla Praha | FNL |
| Apr 3, 2021 | Třinec 2-2 Dukla Praha | FNL |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Dukla Praha 3-1 Třinec | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Třinec score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dukla Praha score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Třinec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Dukla Praha | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Třinec vs Dukla Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Dukla Praha.
- Where and when is Třinec vs Dukla Praha played?
- Třinec vs Dukla Praha is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.