Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tripoli Municipal Stadium, Tarabulus
The Footlab AI model makes Tripoli SC the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Tadamon Sour. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tripoli SC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour?
On Elo ratings, Tripoli SC has 1,317 points and Tadamon Sour 1,316.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tripoli SC
4-3-3- GGerônimo
- FFoad Eid
- AAlaa Ezo
- SSuleiman Abu Zam'a
- GGhazi Hussien
- MMohammad Al Zahed
- TTaha Hussain
- AA. Innocent
- MMohamad Korhani
- AAbd Al Razaq Dakramanji
- AAhmad Qarhani
Tadamon Sour
Not enough data to predict the Tadamon Sour lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tripoli SC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tadamon Sour have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Ahed(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2024 | Shabab Al Ghazieh(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2024 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Al Nejmeh(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Racing(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tripoli SC wins, 2 draws, 1 Tadamon Sour win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2024 | Tadamon Sour 0-1 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Tadamon Sour 3-0 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Tripoli SC 1-1 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Tripoli SC 2-0 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Tadamon Sour 2-2 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Tripoli SC 3-2 Tadamon Sour | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tadamon Sour vs Tripoli SC on May 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tripoli SC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tadamon Sour score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tripoli SC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Tadamon Sour | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tripoli SC sit 6th in Premier League (4 points from 2 matches) and Tadamon Sour sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tadamon Sour | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Tripoli SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tripoli SC the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Tadamon Sour.
- Where and when is Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour played?
- Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour is played on October 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tripoli Municipal Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.