Tritium vs Brusaporto: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda
The Footlab model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritium vs Brusaporto?
Brusaporto starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Brusaporto have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Club Milano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Caravaggio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Arconatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Breno(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tritium win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Brusaporto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Brusaporto 0-1 Tritium | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Tritium 2-4 Brusaporto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Tritium 1-1 Brusaporto | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Brusaporto vs Tritium on Jan 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brusaporto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritium | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Brusaporto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 38 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Brusaporto?
- The Footlab model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tritium.
- Where and when is Tritium vs Brusaporto played?
- Tritium vs Brusaporto is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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