Match

Villa Valle vs Tritium: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, Villa D'Almè

Villa ValleTritium

The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Valle vs Tritium?

Villa Valle starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,688 vs 1,545).

Villa Valle win46 %
Draw27 %
Tritium win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Valle have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tritium have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Valle
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Breno(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Oltrepò(home)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Caldiero Terme(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Milan II(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Pro Palazzolo(home)2-4Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024Club Milano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Desenzano Calvina(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024Caravaggio(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024Arconatese(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Villa Valle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tritium win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 25, 2024Villa Valle 2-0 TritiumSerie D - Girone B
Oct 22, 2023Tritium 0-2 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B
Oct 26, 2019Tritium 1-1 Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Villa Valle vs Tritium on Feb 25, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Valle1.01.4310/156/15
Tritium0.71.625/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Villa Valle3413813434647

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Valle vs Tritium?
The Footlab model makes Villa Valle the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Tritium.
Where and when is Villa Valle vs Tritium played?
Villa Valle vs Tritium is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Villa Valle and Tritium

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