Match

Leon Monza e Brianza vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Leon Monza e BrianzaCaldiero Terme

The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Caldiero Terme. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leon Monza e Brianza vs Caldiero Terme?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712) and Caldiero Terme (1,708).

Leon Monza e Brianza win38 %
Draw27 %
Caldiero Terme win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon Monza e Brianza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leon Monza e Brianza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Chievo(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Scanzorosciate(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Castellanzese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Varesina(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Vogherese(away)6-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Villa Valle(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Sondrio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Brusaporto(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Caldiero Terme win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Caldiero Terme 3-0 Leon Monza e BrianzaSerie D - Girone B
Sep 24, 2025Leon Monza e Brianza 0-0 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Leon Monza e Brianza on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leon Monza e Brianza1.41.347/159/15
Caldiero Terme1.81.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone B (53 points from 34 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leon Monza e Brianza3414119443453
11Caldiero Terme3410159504045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leon Monza e Brianza vs Caldiero Terme?
The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Caldiero Terme.
Where and when is Leon Monza e Brianza vs Caldiero Terme played?
Leon Monza e Brianza vs Caldiero Terme is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leon Monza e Brianza and Caldiero Terme

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