Match

Tritium vs Pavonese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda

TritiumPavonese

The Footlab AI model makes Tritium the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tritium wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tritium vs Pavonese?

On Elo ratings, Tritium has 1,455 points and Pavonese 1,608.

36%28%36%
Tritium winDrawPavonese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tritium vs Pavonese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tritium

4-3-3
  1. 11A. Marzeglia
  2. 9M. Personè
  3. 10A. Forlani
  1. 8M. Lacchini
  2. 4M. Marinoni
  3. 3A. Aldè
  1. 5R. Bertaglio
  2. 6A. Gritti
  3. 2Luca Perico
  4. 7L. Caferri
  1. 1M. Miori

Pavonese

Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Pavonese have 2, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Club Milano(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Villa Valle(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 3, 2026Chievo(away)0-5Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Pavonese(away)2-3Serie D - Girone B
Pavonese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Virtus Verona(away)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Tritium(home)3-2Serie D - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Sep 12, 2026Club Milano(home)0-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Tritium wins, 0 draws, 1 Pavonese win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Pavonese 3-2 TritiumSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Pavonese vs Tritium on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tritium score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tritium0.91.919/157/15
Pavonese0.81.512/62/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tritium sit 18th in Serie D - Girone B (2 points from 7 matches) and Pavonese sit 15th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Pavonese6213597
18Tritium70257162

A question about Tritium vs Pavonese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Pavonese?
The Footlab AI model makes Tritium the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Pavonese.
Where and when is Tritium vs Pavonese played?
Tritium vs Pavonese is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tritium and Pavonese

Ready to know everything about football?