Tritium vs Pavonese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda
The Footlab model makes Tritium the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritium vs Pavonese?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Pavonese have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Club Milano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Caravaggio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Arconatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Pavonese?
- The Footlab model makes Tritium the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Tritium vs Pavonese played?
- Tritium vs Pavonese is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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