Match

Leon Monza e Brianza vs Rovato Vertovese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Leon Monza e BrianzaRovato Vertovese

The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Rovato Vertovese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leon Monza e Brianza vs Rovato Vertovese?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712) and Rovato Vertovese (1,753).

Leon Monza e Brianza win37 %
Draw28 %
Rovato Vertovese win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon Monza e Brianza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Rovato Vertovese have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leon Monza e Brianza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Chievo(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Scanzorosciate(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Castellanzese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Rovato Vertovese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Ospitaletto(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Imolese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Sangiuliano City(home)2-0Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(away)1-2Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026Cittadella Vis Modena(away)0-0Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rovato Vertovese score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leon Monza e Brianza1.41.347/159/15
Rovato Vertovese1.10.776/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leon Monza e Brianza3414119443453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leon Monza e Brianza vs Rovato Vertovese?
The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Rovato Vertovese.
Where and when is Leon Monza e Brianza vs Rovato Vertovese played?
Leon Monza e Brianza vs Rovato Vertovese is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leon Monza e Brianza and Rovato Vertovese

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