Pavonese vs Virtus Verona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pavonese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Virtus Verona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pavonese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Virtus Verona?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,668) and Virtus Verona (1,612).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Virtus Verona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Virtus Verona
4-3-3- 9J. Kristoffersen
- 11P. Ojeh
- 7S. Lerco
- 10A. Devoti
- 8M. Di Virgilio
- 3G. Viviani
- 6F. Fanini
- PPierfrancesco Grassi
- 5T. Cielo
- 55A. Favalli
- 1B. Dolfi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Virtus Verona have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pavonese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Pavonese win, 0 draws, 0 Virtus Verona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona 0-1 Pavonese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Verona vs Pavonese on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Virtus Verona score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Virtus Verona | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Verona sit 13th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Virtus Verona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Virtus Verona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Virtus Verona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pavonese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Virtus Verona.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Virtus Verona played?
- Pavonese vs Virtus Verona is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027ChievovsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Jan 31, 2027PiacenzavsMilan II
- Jan 31, 2027BrusaportovsReal Calepina
- Jan 31, 2027Villa VallevsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Jan 31, 2027Caldiero TermevsFiorenzuola
- Jan 31, 2027Club MilanovsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Jan 31, 2027Pro PalazzolovsScanzorosciate
- Jan 31, 2027Rovato VertovesevsTritium