Trofense vs Penafiel: result 2-3 and analysis
Taça de Portugal2nd RoundKick-off on September 30, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
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What was the result of Trofense vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 2-3 on September 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Trofense have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Penafiel have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Sintrense(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Arões(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Beira-Mar(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 1, 2018 | SC Braga B(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 25, 2018 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Famalicao(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Arouca(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Trofense score 2.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 6; Penafiel score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | 2.2 | 0.3 | 4 | 1/6 | 2/6 |
| Penafiel | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy