Trofense vs Penafiel: result 2-3 and analysis
Taça de Portugal2nd RoundKick-off on September 30, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
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What was the result of Trofense vs Penafiel?
Penafiel won 2-3 on September 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Trofense have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Penafiel have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Sintrense(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Arões(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Beira-Mar(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2018 | Cova De Piedade(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 1, 2018 | SC Braga B(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 25, 2018 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Famalicao(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Arouca(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Trofense score 2.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 6; Penafiel score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | 2.2 | 0.3 | 4 | 1/6 | 2/6 |
| Penafiel | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
A question about Trofense vs Penafiel?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy